Rankings / Candidate
Manuel Arellano
CEMFI, Madrid · Econometrics
Currently #11, tier Field, score 14.3, named by 1 source.Score history: 100.0, 25.0, 14.3
The work. The Arellano-Bond estimator, the standard method for dynamic panel data when you follow many units over a few periods.
The case for. Among the most cited econometrics papers ever written, used across labor, growth, and finance. The committee has rewarded tools of this kind before, with Heckman and Granger.
The case against. Econometrics got Card, Angrist, and Imbens in 2021, and a single estimator, however cited, is a thin story next to the identification revolution.
The KmikeyM angle. Arellano built tools for learning from units observed over time, which is the only data KmikeyM will ever produce: one man, many periods.
What the sources say
- Clarivate alumni (prior years) named Manuel Arellano: named in 2018: for contributions to panel data analysis, especially the Arellano-Bond estimator (heat 100) Preseason: the Clarivate alumni pool