Every update, newest first. Each one records what the sources said that day and how it moved the Power Rankings. The KmikeyM desk writes them.
On Thursday morning somebody bought 500 Athey contracts at 15 and 500 Pakes contracts at 69, two minutes apart. By midnight Pakes had traded down to 18 and Athey up to 60, both on a handful of contracts. The book underneath barely moved.
Read moreTwo and a half weeks out, a model built from past winners forecasts information economics or game theory and puts Sanford Grossman first, at 4.4 percent. The IO case for Berry, Hausman and Pakes keeps getting made. Everything else is either last year's coverage or a list that includes past winners.
Read moreKalshi's 2026 Economics Nobel market lists nine names. Ariel Pakes leads at 22 cents, Susan Athey jumped to 19 the morning Clarivate named her, and the whole book is thin.
Read moreSusan Athey, Hal Varian, Michael Woodford and Sidney Winter are the 2026 Citation Laureates in economics. The digital economy finally has a ticket.
Read moreBefore this year's list drops, here is everyone Clarivate has named since 2002 who is still waiting. 68 economists. Most laureates were on this bench first.
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