Rankings / Candidate
Barry Eichengreen
University of California, Berkeley · Macro
Photo: World Economic Forum from Cologny, Switzerland, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Currently #19, tier Field, score 8.2, named by 1 source.Score history: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 8.2
The work. Golden Fetters, the book that made the gold standard the villain of the Great Depression, and three decades of work on the international monetary system: how currencies become reserve currencies, why exchange-rate regimes collapse, and what the euro could and could not do.
The case for. Richard Tol's model puts him second, paired with Kenneth Rogoff, on citations and connections alone. Economic history has been in the rotation since Mokyr's share of the 2025 prize, and no living economist has done more to make monetary history quantitative.
The case against. History just won. The committee rarely goes back to a field the year after, and Eichengreen appears on no market, no Clarivate list, and no forecaster's top three.
The KmikeyM angle. Eichengreen's question is what makes people trust a currency nobody is forced to hold. KmikeyM shares are exactly that, and the answer so far is a public ledger and a man who keeps his votes.
What the sources say
- Richard Tol's model ranked Barry Eichengreen #2 of 10: trade, with Rogoff; outside the favoured fields, carried by citations and connections (heat 90) Polymarket opens with seventeen names, and six new sources join the board