Rankings / Candidate
Gilles Saint-Paul
Paris School of Economics and École normale supérieure · Growth
Currently #83, tier Field, score 0.9, named by 1 source.Score history: 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.9
The work. The political economy of labor market institutions: why Europe's employment protections persist even when they lower employment, who votes for them and why. Also growth theory with unemployment, and a line of work on the economics of paternalism.
The case for. Tenth on Richard Tol's list, with a model probability of 2.1 percent. A European labor-institutions prize would be a first.
The case against. No market, no Clarivate mention, no forecaster. Tenth on a list whose first name has a one-in-twenty chance is a long way from Stockholm.
The KmikeyM angle. Saint-Paul asks why people vote for rules that cost them. KmikeyM shareholders have voted Mike into a Republican voter registration and a vasectomy. The rules cost him; they voted anyway.
What the sources say
- Richard Tol's model ranked Gilles Saint-Paul #10 of 10: 2.1 percent, growth (heat 10) Polymarket opens with seventeen names, and six new sources join the board